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Kaiser Y Kuo's avatar

It’s so vexing that Jiang’s warnings — issued weeks ahead of the February 4 proclamation of a “no-limits friendship” in Beijing — didn’t make it up the chain of command. The senior leadership in Beijing was, by all accounts, caught completely off guard, and had believed that Putin’s hand was so strong that NATO would have to fold, especially now that Beijing had effectively signaled support for the Kremlin. I’m not 100% sure that, had the senior Chinese leadership known that the decision to launch a full-scale invasion had already been made, they would have either made that announcement on Feb 4 or been so reluctant to criticize Russia openly after the invasion began, but there would have certainly been more room for Beijing to adjust its position. What a tragedy. Jiang’s account here really only flicks at the reasons why their warnings went unheeded, in one paragraph, but it’s nonetheless quite telling.

James Orban's avatar

This was an extremely interesting article, thank you so much for getting it out to the world. I wish there were more people who understood China as a rational actor rather than whatever bogeyman both sides of the American political talk of war wish to understand. It is always interesting hearing things from a Chinese perspective.

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