"On April 1, 2001, a U.S. reconnaissance aircraft collided with a Chinese military aircraft over China’s exclusive economic zone east of Hainan Island" !! Actually, a hotshot Chinese pilot buzzed much too close to the U.S. plane, over and over, finally hitting it. The Chinese fighter jet went down. (And exclusive economic zones are open skies.) So one more corrective footnote 😉.
Uhhhhhh wat? Sure the idea that EEZs are open skies and seas is exactly what UNCLOS established, but the US didn't ratify that. Refused to actually, publicly, assertively, and repeatedly. The "hotshot" was also executing pretty standard intercept protocols when a spy plane is at the doorstep. Repeated hailing attempts were met with basically "go cry about it, we're following an international law we never ratified". Not the first time either. In previous intercepts even the "hotshot" himself pulled off his mask and attempted direct communication. And revealed his email address. I honestly don't know that any sovereign nation, especially militaristic ones, would have responded any differently.
Diplomatic speed can be substantive, not ceremonial. A call placed before positions calcify changes the other side’s model of intent. It may be more valuable than later concessions because it arrives while uncertainty is still high. The disputed chronology is therefore part of the policy story.
Wasicu iya sintehla! A Lakota phrase is usually translated as “white man speaks with forked tongue.” An alternate translation is “land-grabber speaks like a rattlesnake.” What Bush said in public is one side of the tongue, what RAND and other US Think Tanks were busy doing with the other side was polling and coalescing the various factions of the deep state & permanent state into a policy of doing at the very least a Tanya Harding on China. You got to do your homework.
"On April 1, 2001, a U.S. reconnaissance aircraft collided with a Chinese military aircraft over China’s exclusive economic zone east of Hainan Island" !! Actually, a hotshot Chinese pilot buzzed much too close to the U.S. plane, over and over, finally hitting it. The Chinese fighter jet went down. (And exclusive economic zones are open skies.) So one more corrective footnote 😉.
Uhhhhhh wat? Sure the idea that EEZs are open skies and seas is exactly what UNCLOS established, but the US didn't ratify that. Refused to actually, publicly, assertively, and repeatedly. The "hotshot" was also executing pretty standard intercept protocols when a spy plane is at the doorstep. Repeated hailing attempts were met with basically "go cry about it, we're following an international law we never ratified". Not the first time either. In previous intercepts even the "hotshot" himself pulled off his mask and attempted direct communication. And revealed his email address. I honestly don't know that any sovereign nation, especially militaristic ones, would have responded any differently.
Diplomatic speed can be substantive, not ceremonial. A call placed before positions calcify changes the other side’s model of intent. It may be more valuable than later concessions because it arrives while uncertainty is still high. The disputed chronology is therefore part of the policy story.
Wasicu iya sintehla! A Lakota phrase is usually translated as “white man speaks with forked tongue.” An alternate translation is “land-grabber speaks like a rattlesnake.” What Bush said in public is one side of the tongue, what RAND and other US Think Tanks were busy doing with the other side was polling and coalescing the various factions of the deep state & permanent state into a policy of doing at the very least a Tanya Harding on China. You got to do your homework.
Thanks for the shout-out!